I met with Prof. Woglom today and showed him the Excel file I worked on over this weekend. I will attach the file here when I get a chance.
Trading rules are as follows:
- If stock rises by x% or more, buy long position.
- If stock then falls by x% or more and price is still above the buy-in price, sell current position and furthermore sell short.
- If stock then rises by x% or more and price is still below the second sell-short price, cover short position and buy long position.
- If during a long position the stock falls by x% or more but price is below the buy-in price, then hold.
- If during a short position the stock rises by x% or more but price is above sell-short price, then hold.
- Likewise, if stock initially falls x%, then short position first.
- We apply this strategy to all historical data that we have.